Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 75487.153024 79765.673187 84047.064723 88649.667625 93454.469952 98319.226860 103613.846687
2025-04-06 68229.415651 74747.794438 81457.494474 88870.535547 96821.173161 105082.517572 114305.748644
2025-04-13 62860.015998 70876.129105 79314.258732 88838.649189 99269.645932 110325.640771 122909.375367
2025-04-20 59575.007466 68797.520847 78686.790256 90046.567090 102700.636286 116328.894710 132081.041647
2025-04-27 56917.959978 67120.547121 78238.693741 91205.396664 105861.659003 121862.814834 140600.558290
2025-05-04 54328.017747 65302.771961 77439.062996 91788.462666 108221.084316 126380.788473 147893.511754
2025-05-11 51752.047115 63327.775911 76304.667521 91843.747333 109854.116474 129979.680968 154073.352283
2025-05-18 49582.993821 61692.510091 75441.140227 92098.286172 111619.034462 133654.865797 160289.021474
2025-05-25 47558.478805 60117.027187 74547.778052 92225.232376 113157.228246 137010.750694 166099.047359
2025-06-01 46283.247637 59360.483396 74553.298566 93352.050237 115821.484559 141646.462230 173391.070706
2025-06-08 44434.910035 57827.195179 73558.283538 93218.883364 116938.177627 144430.570323 178491.289880
2025-06-15 43533.982306 57402.843164 73855.418297 94602.329020 119840.151266 149311.936673 186078.923747
2025-06-22 42391.988116 56650.063923 73735.166467 95475.647678 122143.801462 153520.555667 192936.820461
2025-06-29 40949.066769 55467.953263 73042.905207 95611.108228 123526.839314 156618.231416 198476.343582
2025-07-06 39505.179676 54229.798018 72232.003531 95555.210809 124640.282514 159368.894125 203591.859266
2025-07-13 38785.546683 53884.094876 72509.054510 96831.565631 127383.166476 164098.563481 211128.158967
2025-07-20 38090.766459 53539.594928 72762.516584 98059.469695 130057.428939 168749.552586 218592.042153
2025-07-27 37162.528733 52855.429056 72553.763021 98677.531775 131953.267422 172440.108915 224889.265411
2025-08-03 36038.384619 51874.807937 71930.343170 98736.100182 133121.508287 175218.650240 230061.972602
2025-08-10 35063.649082 51059.929886 71491.831615 99005.997481 134538.529497 178298.184573 235613.903135
2025-08-17 34080.851069 50202.172291 70968.644190 99140.603762 135764.018773 181129.240231 240859.981134
2025-08-24 33581.598951 49981.131804 71267.089372 100335.349943 138347.686036 185676.865328 248284.068760
2025-08-31 32568.793637 49026.577136 70566.412775 100194.163430 139187.514088 188010.367189 252919.138196